Learn sure betting and value betting
Short, honest guides with the maths written out. Read them in order if you're new, or jump to the one you need. Each has worked examples you can check with our free calculators.
Start here
The two strategies ArbVantage finds, and the one in between.
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Sure betting explained
Why bookmakers disagree, the 1/odds test, stake formulas and worked 2-way and 3-way examples.
Read · 5 min -
Value betting and expected value
Fair prices from sharp books, the EV formula, realistic variance, Kelly staking and closing line value.
Read · 4 min -
What is a middle?
Betting both sides of a totals or spread market at different lines: small misses, big hits, and the break-even maths.
Read · 5 min
Running it day to day
Money, accounts and the exchanges you'll lean on.
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Bankroll and how to split it
How much you need, how to spread it across bookmakers, and when to rebalance.
Read · 4 min -
Exchanges and commission
Back and lay bets, liability, commission on Betfair, Matchbook and Smarkets, and effective odds after fees.
Read · 6 min -
How bookmakers limit accounts
What gets an account reviewed, how stake factoring works, and honest ways to delay it.
Read · 5 min
Protecting yourself
What goes wrong, and the rules around it.
Ready to try it on real prices?
ArbVantage scans 40 bookmakers for sure bets, value bets and middles, works out the stakes with rounding and commission, and tracks every bet you log. Free for 14 days.